Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.004953 0.005457 0.006002 0.006636 0.007356 0.008151 0.009098
2025-09-21 0.004045 0.004723 0.005509 0.006498 0.007719 0.009192 0.011123
2025-09-28 0.003523 0.004268 0.005176 0.006379 0.007951 0.009969 0.012807
2025-10-05 0.003196 0.003988 0.004991 0.006376 0.008277 0.010848 0.014692
2025-10-12 0.002987 0.003824 0.004920 0.006492 0.008743 0.011942 0.017007
2025-10-19 0.002754 0.003601 0.004740 0.006424 0.008927 0.012637 0.018813
2025-10-26 0.002565 0.003417 0.004590 0.006376 0.009120 0.013348 0.020732
2025-11-02 0.002388 0.003232 0.004420 0.006275 0.009211 0.013898 0.022452
2025-11-09 0.002268 0.003119 0.004342 0.006299 0.009492 0.014778 0.024875
2025-11-16 0.002138 0.002980 0.004214 0.006231 0.009610 0.015388 0.026895
2025-11-23 0.002003 0.002825 0.004049 0.006087 0.009584 0.015736 0.028458
2025-11-30 0.001930 0.002759 0.004014 0.006150 0.009912 0.016756 0.031545
2025-12-07 0.001879 0.002727 0.004036 0.006319 0.010467 0.018312 0.036180
2025-12-14 0.001769 0.002595 0.003890 0.006192 0.010475 0.018821 0.038633
2025-12-21 0.001671 0.002478 0.003760 0.006080 0.010493 0.019349 0.041245
2025-12-28 0.001603 0.002403 0.003696 0.006077 0.010721 0.020341 0.045231
2026-01-04 0.001561 0.002368 0.003693 0.006186 0.011180 0.021897 0.051084
2026-01-11 0.001492 0.002285 0.003603 0.006122 0.011278 0.022663 0.054989
2026-01-18 0.001432 0.002212 0.003526 0.006077 0.011408 0.023519 0.059394
2026-01-25 0.001368 0.002130 0.003427 0.005982 0.011421 0.024095 0.063117
2026-02-01 0.001326 0.002084 0.003391 0.006005 0.011695 0.025357 0.069417
2026-02-08 0.001275 0.002018 0.003313 0.005940 0.011764 0.026110 0.074268
2026-02-15 0.001216 0.001938 0.003205 0.005805 0.011658 0.026386 0.077541